Oregonians are learning that electric companies like renewables because costlier systems increase profits.
The utilities’ bargain—tucked inside Oregon’s H.B. 4036, which the House passed last week, and S.B. 1547, which it is expected to take up soon—gives the greens what they want: no coal serving Oregon customers within two decades and a huge expansion of renewables to 50% of the power supply by 2040.
What do utilities get in exchange? Oregonians already have little choice in which company serves them, but the legislation restricts competition even further—in case customers of a newly clean-and-green utility have second
thoughts when they see their power bills rise. Under the proposal consumers would essentially buy out power companies for their remaining investment in coal plants, as well as cover the projected cost of decommissioning these plants before the end of their useful lives. The bill also carves out special ratemaking treatment for everything from investments in renewables and energy storage to charging stations for electric vehicles.
Legislators and much of the Oregon press have heralded the bill as a historic compromise, the moment when the clouds parted and citizen climate activists forced big, greedy corporations to recognize the error of their ways. They’re forgetting that utilities typically enjoy a “cost of service” revenue model. Every dollar they spend, they get back from a captive base of customers over time—together with an annual return on the undepreciated amount of their investment.
In other words, unlike companies doing business in a competitive market, for whom unnecessary spending is a deadweight on earnings, utilities actually profit from building a more costly system, so long as it is politically popular. If Egyptology suddenly came into fashion in Oregon, and enthusiasts convinced the state to use its ratemaking powers to advance the cause, utilities would gladly build a pyramid in Portland, and they would make money doing so.
So it goes: Environmentalists put their feel-good sentimentalism into action by leaning on their lawmakers; the state uses its power to make regulated electric companies into a vessel of green activism; and utilities agree in exchange for being able to drive shareholder returns with risk-free investments on the backs of captive customers.
That is what lobbyists call a win-win—and not only in Oregon. Similar arrangements have coursed through legislative or regulatory processes in Nevada and Colorado, and are pending in Ohio and Washington. In some cases, lawmakers include a kickback for labor interests or an opt-out for industrial firms that might flee if their power rates rise. But everywhere the generic template is the same.